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But what they missed was that she could create a sincere connection with those working-class voters in rural areas and in Democratic-rich Dane [County] and Milwaukee.. In fact, senators from the party out of power (i.e., the party opposed to the sitting president . Senate Rating Changes: Arizona, Pennsylvania to Leans Democratic The 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Kansas, with primary elections taking place on August 2, 2022. The new poll found that 67% of Republicans are very excited about the election, compared to 58% of Democrats and 35% of independents. This story was republished on Jan. 16, 2023, to make it free for all readers. Yes. Bemis, a major plastics manufacturer, had appointed Howard Curler as its CEO in 1978, and during the first several years of PACUR's existence, Bemis was the business' sole client. Ron Johnson's approval ratings are underwater in a swing state that President Joe Biden won. Top 10 U.S. Senate races that are most likely to flip : NPR With the help of Morning Consult, which polls the approval ratings of U.S. senators every quarter, weve created a statistic that Im playfully calling Popularity Above Replacement Senator (PARS). He has been endorsed by well-known political figures including Sens. "First of all, I'm not a polarizing figure. That conversation starts with Sen. Doug Jones, who comes in at No. With the prospect that abortion could soon be illegal in many states, some people may face difficult decisions about what to do if they have an unwanted pregnancy. Since 2015-16, Johnson's popularity rating has gone from minus 50 to minus 73 with Democrats; from minus 54 to minus 76 with liberals; from minus 31 to minus 45 with nonreligious voters; and . Its not crazy to think he could be vulnerable in 2020. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive,Three years after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, remote and hybrid work are as popular as ever. As Sen. Ron Johnson weighs future, Trump ties take a toll - Madison In the head-to-head matchups for U.S. Rife's warrant was served Wednesday and he is awaiting . Cant fix stupid or true believers. The question is whether the results in 2020 will be closer to her net approval rating or Maines light-blue partisanship; splitting the difference yields a race that leans (or tilts) Republican, which is exactly where major election handicappers have it. But he also stood to benefit from a difficult political climate for Democrats, reflected in President Joe Biden's poor approval ratings. That gap is significantly bigger than it was from 2013 to 2019. While the results are better for Evers than Johnson, and offer the best news for Michels and Barnes among the challengers, the difference in most cases does not surpass the 6.3% margin of error for the governors race and 6.4% for the U.S.Senator race. 2023 CNBC LLC. 2023 Morning Consult, All Rights Reserved. Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) insisted Sunday that his low approval ratings are not at all his fault and that he is "not a polarizing figure." Johnson made the comments during an interview with journalist Adrienne Pedersen on Milwaukee television . Gas prices have plummeted. Biden Job Approval in All 50 States. Sen. Ron Johnson: Straight from the horse's mouth Evers, by contrast, had a net positive rating, with 48% approving of the job he did and 45% disapproving. Pay no attention to countless testimonies? The survey released Wednesday found slipping approval ratings for Democratic Gov. While the majority of Wisconsin Republican voters (62 percent) approve of his job performance, that figure is down from 70 percent before the pandemic and from 78 percent in the first three months of 2017, just after his re-election. But while Johnson is unpopular, few are ready to declare his chances dead on arrival as he revs up his third Senate campaign in a state Trump lost by just a sliver in 2020. Since 2019, his net favorability rating in the WOW counties has dropped from an average of plus 41 to plus-8 in the last four Marquette polls combined. Sykes agreed the Democratic Party has what it takes to pull off a victory, but warned that a lot of what happens in November may be out of their control. I think Johnson is in a strong position from the standpoint of being the incumbent and not having a primary, Hitt said. The top 10 Senate seats that are most likely to flip to the other party. The Cook Political Report lists the 2022 Senate race as a toss-up. We havent seen that kind of recovery yet in this cycle. If the same state had a Republican senator with the same approval rating, his PARS would be -5 (2-7 = -5). Ron Johnson is America's second least popular senator after only Mitch (Photo by Caroline Brehman/CQ Roll Call via AP Images), Biden throws out Trump energy policy that added millions of tons of carbon pollution, Madison Cawthorn caught breaking the law again, Marjorie Taylor Greene pledges bill to criminalize gender-affirming care in CPAC speech, Republicans lawmakers show off their awards from anti-LGBTQ Family Research Council. In Marquettes recent polling, there is now a massive 130-point partisan gap in attitudes toward Johnson: plus 57 among Republicans, minus 73 among Democrats. Appointment o Appoint ambassadors, public ministers, federal judges: with advice and consent of the Senate o Appoints about 3,500 people, of which 1,125 require Senate approval o Can remove many of these apps at will o Technically appts military personnel o Selection of the right people: very imp o Cabinet: formal body of presidential . In fact, the only current senator with a lower approval rating is Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who has infamously blocked hundreds of popular pieces of legislation. Around a quarter of Wisconsin Republicans (24 percent) disapprove of his job performance. This is less true for governors, however. Shaheen has a +21 net approval rating, Warner has a +19 net approval rating and Smith has a +18 net approval rating. That will be essential in a year when, based solely on partisan lean and generic congressional ballot polling, youd expect a Republican to win their home states, all else being equal. Chris Sununus net approval rating is +30, so he is expected to comfortably win reelection. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Have questions? The View From Wisconsin: Approval of Political Leaders and Hypothetical More:'He doesn't understand medicine is a science': Ron Johnson escalates 'guerrilla war' against medical establishment, More:Here are the 11 Democrats in Wisconsin's 2022 U.S. Senate race who are seeking to unseat Ron Johnson. PPP recently conducted a poll for 314 Action in Wisconsin and found that the state unsurprisingly continues to be closely divided politically about a lot of things but not its feelings about Ron Johnson. Hitt said Johnsons message in a Wall Street Journal op-ed he wrote announcing his re-election campaign was a good start in appealing to both the GOP base and the 6 to 7 percent who stand in the middle of the Wisconsin electorate as true swing voters. Yet, even though his net approval rating has long been underwater, he easily won reelection in 2020 thanks to Kentuckys overwhelming Republican lean. So, its not a short-term fluctuation, but a strong trend, said pollster Charles Franklin, who provided the data used here. A. Senator Ron Johnson's . The Democrats could have run a dead person against Donald Trump in 2020 and the dead person probably would have received more votes than Joe Biden And we would probably be better off today if a dead person had won in 2020, rather than war mongering liar Joe Biden. Faircloth's loss came in a year in which the President, Democrat Bill Clinton, had an approval rating in the 60s. By contrast, Baldwin's fellow Senator Ron Johnson elicits a much less favourable net approval rating of -22%, since 49% disapprove and 27% approve of Senator Johnson's overall job performance. Only 6 percent of employees able to do their jobs remotely But Kleefisch did the best of the Republicans in thehead-to-head matchup against Evers, with 43% of the vote versus 47% for Evers. Thats why, today, were unveiling a metric of a senators political standing that takes both partisanship and popularity into account. ago. Top 10 Senate Races in 2022 Race to the WH If the magic of 2016 (for Johnson) was to convert dont knows to favorables, this year it looks like people who didnt have an opinion are being converted into unfavorables, said Franklin. At the same time, Johnson has grown that much more unpopular among groups that tilt Democratic, tilt to the left and were already negative toward him. Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes - RealClearPolitics United States presidential approval rating - Wikipedia Biden Job Approval on Issues. Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in the . RCP Senate Ratings, Map. 2022 Governors Elections (39) Jared Polis to be vulnerable in a Republican-leaning midterm in D+6 Colorado, but his net approval rating is 16 points higher than that, giving him a nice cushion in case the national environment puts his state in play. Announces Mary Ellen Stanek as Board Chairwoman and adds Dr. Joan Prince and Charles Harvey to Board of Directors, Tiffany Tardy Named New Executive Director of MPS Foundation, DWD Announces Appointments of Jeremy Simon as Assistant Deputy Secretary, Arielle Exner as Legislative Liaison. Ron Johnson Approval Rating - vimbuzz.com Approval ratings of the incumbent Democratic Governor, Ralph Northam, have dropped 10 points to 49%, which is still better than the average drop of 14.38% for Democratic governors. Charlie Baker of Massachusetts, Phil Scott of Vermont and Larry Hogan of Maryland. If you are an existing member, sign-in to leave a comment. Voicemail to me on election night 18 yrs. Nearly six years ago, national Republicans had largely written off Johnsons eventually successful re-election campaign as Morning Consult surveys showed 45 percent of Wisconsin voters approved of his job performance, 33 percent disapproved and 22 percent had no opinion. But Barnes' campaign has largely focused on economic issues, highlighting his middle-class upbringing in Milwaukee and contrasting it with Johnson's status as one of the richest members of the Senate. Republican voters looking for a fight are turning to Ron Johnson again In a state where the Democratic president eked out one of his narrowest margins of victory over Trump (just under 21,000 votes), Biden has seen his standing plummet especially in the suburban communities that Democrats relied on for 2018 midterm victories and Bidens own success. President Joe Biden narrowly carried Wisconsin in the 2020 election. According to the survey of about 800 registered voters, Democratic Governor Tony Evers' approval rating slid from 50% in August to 45%. During the pandemic, the senator has blasted health agencies and medical experts, promoted unproven treatments and questioned the broad push for vaccination. All Rights Reserved. New Marquette Law School Wisconsin survey finds Barnes with 7-point GOP Voters "Sour" on Senate Republicans As The 2022 Cycle Begins Harry S. Truman 1945-53. Latest Marquette poll a rough one for Wisconsin incumbents The decline in sentiment largely started after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020 but gained momentum after Biden was elected, when Johnson made headlines for his statements about the Jan. 6 Capitol attack and skepticism of vaccines. How Every Senator Ranks According To 'Popularity Above Replacement Incumbent Sens. So is the gap between how conservatives and liberals view him. Gov. DeSantis' Net Approval Rating Drops 14 Points Amid - Forbes . . The results echo a poll done in mid-May by Public Policy Polling for the Milwaukee nonprofit,Milwaukee Works, which found a virtual dead heat between Michels and Kleefisch. Scribd is the world's largest social reading and publishing site. Map 1: Crystal Ball Senate ratings. Governors running for reelection in swing states also have some very different PARGs that explain why some of them are vulnerable this year, while others probably dont have anything to worry about. Johnson (Republican Party) ran for re-election to the U.S. Senate to represent Wisconsin.He won in the general election on November 8, 2022.. Johnson was first elected to the Senate in 2010 when he defeated incumbent Sen. Russ . Mandela Barnes lead over Sen. Ron Johnson for the key Senate seat widened from two points in June to seven points in a new poll released Wednesday. By this time in the 2016 election cycle, Johnsons ratings had already begun to improve, from minus 11 in the fall of 2015 to minus 4 in February of 2016 to plus 1 in March of 2016. That poll . This ad will close automatically in 15 seconds. Note that the partisan leans in this article were calculated before the 2018 elections; we havent calculated FiveThirtyEight partisan leans that incorporate the midterm results yet. Several hugely divisive events have occurred since 2019, however: the GOP effort to decertify the 2020 election; the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol; and the pandemic that began in early 2020. Baker, Hogan, Beshear and Edwards arent on the ballot this year; Baker and Hogan are retiring, while Kentucky and Louisiana elect their governors in odd years. But his rating among anti-Trump voters has steadily worsened, going from minus-24 in 2016 to minus-45 in 2020 to minus-58 this year. The idea behind these stats is that a 70 percent approval rating for a Democrat in Massachusetts isnt the same as a 70 percent approval rating for a Democrat in Florida.